Team that could ruin your bracket: Missouri State. The fifth-seeded Lady Bears haven't lost since the week before Christmas and completely dominated the Missouri Valley Conference. Brice Calip, Jasmine Franklin and Abby Hipp are talented and experienced enough to scare any bigger-name program. Missouri State took down Maryland earlier this season, knocked off 23rd-ranked Minnesota two years ago upset DePaul and Iowa State on their way to the Sweet 16 in the 2019 NCAA tournament. If Missouri State makes it that far again, Stanford, the team that ended the Lady Bears' run two years ago, could be waiting.
Matchup we'd like to see: Stanford vs. Arkansas. If the Lady Bears don't get in the way, the Cardinal and fourth-seeded Razorbacks would make for a compelling Sweet 16 matchup.
Which teams advance? Stanford, Missouri State, Georgia and Louisville are my picks to reach the Sweet 16. Stanford advances to the Final Four
ALAMO REGION:
Analysis: Stanford is definitely the top overall seed for many reasons. The Cardinal are deep, led by Haley Jones and Kiana Williams, talented, and have already spent two months on the road, so three weeks in a hotel room shouldn't faze them too much. It won't be easy with a high-scoring Arkansas team as a potential Sweet 16 matchup. Dana Evans and Louisville potentially await the Cardinal in the regional final.
Other players to watch: Chelsea Dungee, Arkansas; Natasha Mack, Oklahoma State; Hannah Sjerven, South Dakota.
Upset watch: UC Davis will continue the trend of 12s knocking off 5s as the Aggies have a good shot to upset Missouri State, which opted out of the Missouri Valley Conference tourney before the semifinals because of COVID-19 concerns for its opponent.
First-round winners: Stanford, Oklahoma State, UC Davis, Arkansas, South Dakota, Georgia, Northwestern, Louisville.
Second-round winners: Stanford, Arkansas, Georgia, Louisville.
Regional semifinal winners: Stanford, Louisville.
Regional champion: Stanford.
Well I watched over half of their Big West championship game. I don't know how they stayed close to Oregon. There is absolutely no doubt in my mind that if they were in the MVC that they would be in a play-in game. I would say the only D1 opponent we have played that is worse than UC Davis is Evansville. They are slow in getting back in transition, average to slow overall. They do have active hands defensively but seem unable to stop dribble penetration. Very careless passing. All of the teams in their conference besides them are worse than SIU in the ratings . It is clear that that league is weak. It seemed to me that they probably won their conference by being less bad than others in the conference. My summary may be too hard on them but even if so we should absolutely not lose this game. They try to play good defense but they are too slow and unathletic to do so for the most part and their defense should pose no problem for us.