2020 Men's Basketball Big West Tournament Dr Fauci, the Head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases at the National Institute of Health, testified yesterday that he expects 150 million people or approximately 45% of the population will eventually get Covid 19. That's a staggering number and it could go higher.
All of these measures seem drastic but they are trying desperately to slow the inevitable spread so that our medical facilities and caregivers do not become overwhelmed and then people who need care are not able to get it. Remember that the health care workers are at high risk themselves because of their high levels of exposure. The spread of a disease in a pandemic looks like a bell curve and, once it gets going, it really takes off.
We don't know if the virus is seasonal. It's possible it could go on for long time infecting more and more people. There is no current vaccine like there is for the normal, seasonal flu. We don't know how this virus may adapt and evolve even further with time. There are concerns about how it may spread rampantly among the homeless and people without health care insurance who generally don't get medical attention until they are very sick and have infected many others. The virus also has a high death rate among the elderly (60+) and people with underlying medical conditions.
We're already seeing the disastrous effect on commerce, the stock market, the airlines, the travel industry and, particularly. small businesses and more. The adverse trickle down effect on the local and world economies will likely get worse as more and more people heed the advice to "stay home." More products will become more difficult to obtain as people become more fearful and panic buying spreads and people hoard foods and personal hygiene essentials. Look what has already happened with the M95 masks, hand sanitizer and even toilet paper now.
Hopefully, we'll see things taper off sooner rather than later, but disease experts from around the world are all telling us that these drastic measures to slow the spread of the virus are necessary because there is so much we don't know yet about this virus except that it is spreading very rapidly.