UC Davis Ranked #6 in STATS FCS Poll The
anygivensaturday.com forum is made up of members who are simply big fans of FCS football. I have always felt that, as a group, they know a lot about the FCS and the varied discussion topics are current and informative. They also conduct a weekly poll and rank the FCS like many of the larger media polls.
Many of the members feel that the AGS poll is the most informed and accurate poll released each week...more so than even the Stats FCS poll or the Coaches Poll for example. To prove this point, professor chaos who is an NDSU fan, conducted some research into the which polls were the most accurate in their predictions as to which teams would get into the playoffs compared to the actual teams that were selected by the playoffs committee.
One might think that the AGS poll would be skewed too much by personal biases but the results show otherwise. In comparing the actual playoff seeds and the at-large selections for each year since 2013 the AGS poll was significantly more accurate in their predictions than Stats FCS and the Coaches Poll.
The latest AGS Weekly Poll has the Aggies ranked #3 and I for one, along with some others here, have wondered if that may be too high for us at this point given the level of competition we have played. Then again, given that the AGS poll has shown that it may be the most reliable FCS poll, maybe we deserve to be #3.
View the AGS poll historical data here:
http://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?216083-Which-poll-is-the-most-accurate-playoff-predictor