Looks like I mistakenly used a wrong number in my calculation. My bad.

Nevertheless, recent tests by Stanford, USC, & Los Angeles reportedly reveal that early estimates were massively wrong on a historic scale. While transmission appears prolific, mortality rates appear to be similiar to the seasonal flu.

Here is an interesting 'hot mic' clip commenting on these recent developments from the White House press room.

https://youtu.be/_dB-H2viCYc

I left off the infected number. I think it is 8,500? Which gets us the .002 mortality rate, right?

CoCo County has 19 deaths for over 1.2 Million people, with a .002 mortality rate?

San Luis Obispo County has 260,000 residents, and 1 CV death?

+1.

Or June Madness, even with limited or no fans. It would give us something to be uplifted & unified together. ... MLB playoffs in the Fall... take-out orders up, unites kids & parents.

If the argument is a possible, temporary budget shortfall ... then how about furlough unneeded staff.

Way too early to make such drastic measures. Anticipated deaths are only a fraction of what was estimated. Testing is ramping up, transmissions way down.

A large chunk of ICA funding comes from student fees, and tens of thousands of students desire a UC Davis education.

John Hopkins study: U.S. was more prepared for pandemic than any other country

Bill Mitchell@mitchellvii: "I don't understand the criticism of Trump. By Fauci's own modeling, Trump has already saved over 2 million American lives from certain death."

BTW, Drs. Fauci & Birx aren't infallible, both married to big Hillary supporters, and the Wikileaks dump included emails where Fauci expressed his "love" for HRC. Just sayin.

P.S. AG William Barr on the John Durham criminal investigation: "“My own view is that the evidence shows that we’re not dealing with just mistakes or sloppiness [Comey alibi], there was something far more troubling here; and we’re going to get to the bottom of it,” Barr stated. "

It's not so simple. This CV virus is particularly fatal for older, obese men, and specifically African American men with comorbidities. The City has a miniscule black population. California also has approx 6% or less AA, far less than the US average if 12.5 - 13%.

New York has a density I believe no other US city has. And the city / state let 4 hospitals close in a small, dense community.

Just a few examples. But yes, glad Cuomo - or the Louisiana Gov - aren't our Governor. BTW, the WHO & China lied to us for a month.

Edit: it'll probably be a few years before all the data is in, and the serious scientists can break down what happened.

You forgot a few gems:

January 29, President Trump closes travel from China, saving tens of thousands of lives.

Joe Biden disagrees with the decision, and calls Trump a xenophobe.

New New York City Health Commissioner Oxiris Barbot, Feb 2 presser: “There is no reason not to take the subway, not to take the bus, not to go out to your favorite restaurant, and certainly not to miss the [Chinatown] parade next Sunday.”

Barbot, Feb 2: "“I want to be clear, this is about a virus, not a group of people. There is NO excuse for anyone to discriminate or stigmatize people of Asian heritage. We are here today to urge all New Yorkers to continue to live their lives as usual,” she said."

Barbot, Feb 7: "Barbot argued in a local TV interview on Feb. 7 that the city is “telling New Yorkers, go about your lives, take the subway, go out, enjoy life.” "

Mayor deBlasio, Feb 10th: " “Since I’m encouraging New Yorkers to go on with your lives + get out on the town despite Coronavirus,” de Blasio told his Twitter followers on March 3, no more than two weeks before likening the outbreak to a type of world war that required nationalizing industries."

"“I thought I would offer some suggestions. Here’s the first: thru Thurs 3/5 go see ‘The Traitor,’” de Blasio said, referring to a 2019 crime drama about the life and times of a Mafia mob boss."

February 29th President Trump restricts travel from Iran; and more restrictions on South Korea & Italy.

[The Hill, Feb 29.] "Fauci and others described the current risk to the American public as low but noted the situation was evolving and that more cases were expected."

March 2: "The facts are reassuring,” the New York mayor said during a March 2 press conference alongside New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo."

2015: Governor Cuomo had an expert emergency commission recommended acquiring 16,000 ventilators for a likely future flu pandemic. Cuomo's decision?

Direct the commission to set up rationing criteria. No new ventilators acquired: but $5M spent on the K Street Bridge, and $800 Million for a Buffalo solar experiment."

Daily Signal: "New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio and his top health official were telling citizens to take the subway and attend parades months after President Donald Trump restricted travel to coronavirus-plagued China."

Lov Gov Cuomo, March 1: "There is no reason for undue anxiety—the general risk remains low in NY. We are diligently managing this situation &will provide info as it becomes available."

https://www.dailysignal.com/2020/03/30/de-blasio-nyc-officials-downplayed-covid-19-threat-after-trump-restricted-travel-to-china-here-are-5-examples/

March 12 President Trump closes off travel from Europe.

March 19 Northern California lockdown.

CALIFORNIA

Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger saw national emergencies. His decision? He purchased 23,000 hospital beds, 2,400 ventilators, supplies, and 3 giant, portable emergency hospitals.

Governor Jerry Brown: during the recession, he depleted the emergency stockpile to allegedly save $2 Million in rent & maintanence. Brown & numerous officials refused comment; some suggest some supplies may have been sold to other countries.

Source: Los Angeles Times

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/485295-trump-administration-announces-new-travel-restrictions-amid-spread-of

Big changes.

So we've gone from a potential 2.2 Million deaths, to 200,000 deaths, now to possibly 61,000 COVID deaths? (Currently at 17,000 deaths, some possibly misdiagnosed.) And many of the victims were / are obese a/o obese chain smokers with additional underlying health issues.

Legitimate nationwide shutdown or media Hysteria, I'd hope these officials gave it more time.

FYI, campus officially shut down until September.

Big changes.

So we've gone from a potential 2.2 Million deaths, to 200,000 deaths, now to possibly 61,000 COVID deaths? (Currently at 17,000 deaths.) And many of the victims were / are obese a/o obese chain smokers with additional underlying health issues.

Legitimate nationwide shutdown or media Hysteria - either way, I believe many agree we need to bring critical industries home, like drugs & PPE equipment. And our national stockpile will soon start receiving roughly 75,000 new ventilators from Phillips & GM.

You seem to ignore the horrible, deadly track record China has acquired. In brief:

1. Horrific "wet markets" selling live & dead bats, rats, snakes, pendolins, & other exotic creatures in confined, unsanitary conditions - likely the vector of animal to human, or animal to animal to human transmission. Some run by the mob. China previously promised to shut them down.

2. At least three major viruses originated in these primitive conditions.

3. China apparently has heavy influence or now runs the WHO via their proxy, Tedros. (One of his first moves was to appoint Zimbabwean dictator Robert Mugabe to a WHO position.)

4. China & Tedros lied about the CV human to human spread for at least 5 weeks.

5. Tedros was against our shutting down travel from China.

6. China was running roughshod over the world & USA until our current President came into office. This shouldn't be a partisan issue - both Bush Jr & Obama failed to change the tide. Supply chai s are now moving, and over 500,000 manufacturing jobs have come home.

Why did the FDA & CDC drop the ball on new tests?

Thankfully, the predicted death total has gone from 2 Million, to 200,000, to now 61,000.

What stood out about Williams? Size, speed?

I believe Casey Merrill had both.

King? Mike Wise?

Ugh. FWIW, we're 5 months away & three major projections (estimates) have been substantially wrong. Fauci & the CDC were originally estimating 200,000 to 2 Million deaths.

Taiwan really nailed it, shutting off travel from China 2 weeks before Chinese New Year's, no cruise ships, masks, etc. Only 300 infections & 5 deaths?

Another huge class, there have to be some departures.

Most of the projections now are way off. A Washington study, just from a week ago, is off by a factor of 4 - they said New York would have 50,000 now hospitalized, the number is actually 13,000. Fauci also isn't infallible - he even contradicts himself, and today he said we should wait to restart the economy until there are no more infections or deaths. As in zero. We'll be beyond a Great Depression by then.

Chloroquine has had great results in France, China, and here. Blood plasma from those with antibodies is also being used.

It's a puzzle, where are we sacrificing? Great work on the updates.

Hold the tourney early summer. Problems solved.

New addition.

6'3" WR Suhas Ravi from De Anza College. In HS in San Ramon racked up about 300 yards receiving as a senior.

Source: UCD Roster

https://www.hudl.com/profile/3952547/Suhas-Ravi