MBB: 2018 NIT Tournament It's a small sample size, but last years NIT 1st round saw the 16 first round games split evenly between the higher and lower seeds, including 3 of the 4 #7 seeds beating the #2 seeds. Of course, part of that might be mis-seading (people complain about seeding in the NCAA tournament, imagine how hard it must be to seed in the NIT). Previous year saw 15 of the 16 higher seeds winning in round 1. As you said, talent usually wins out.
Let Go Ags!