Sagarin is only one of many computer rankings, at it weights prior season. It you look at the Massey composite rankings, Sagarin is way down on the list. JMU will be 11-12 fav, Nicholls about 10, and UNI about 20. You're way too bullish on the favorites here.

UNI will not be favored. Ags will be at least a 7-pt favorite

Still like our seed chances, just not as much

This game is not happening. We go into playoffs at 8-2

Idaho St would not win BSC because they have 2 losses

Maybe a neutral site, but not more than 50 miles away, which doesn't do anything for the air quality. They're not playing this game in an empty stadium

I'm predicting Idaho State circles the wagons and beats Weber

It's a big game for sure, but if Davis goes 9-2, we're seeded and get the bye

Good thing we're not in the NAIA

I don't believe Montana is athletic enough for Davis.

San Jose would beat Montana handily. Idaho St also clearly better

Idaho St is better than Northern Iowa

Cal Poly giving up 7.7 per rush, worst in FCS. Davis has improved from 4.9 last year (not good) to 3.4 (very good). Pass defense about the same as last year

The most they gave up was 45 to Weber

EWU hasn't played UNC

And the over/under is 69

Speed it up! (And Hawkins will) They have no one to guard Doss and Preece.

I don't see how SJSU can be considered a favorite from any perspective. Not talent, experience, or performance. Davis has the best player, the better quarterback, and the next best player. If Davis executes, this should not be close. After flirting with mediocrity for the last 15 seasons, this program is about to pop.