• Gruden out
    Good riddance. Overrated coach who never deserved the contract he got and certainly never deserved to have control over personnel decisions.

    And I can confidently say if someone uncovered all of my emails/texts, at least as an adult, that they wouldn't find a single instance of my writing out racist, homophobic or sexist language. I also don't use that type of language in my everyday life.

    Want to not get fired from your high paying job? Maybe don't use language like that. Pretty simple actually.
  • Week 7: Northern Colorado @ UC Davis
    To quote the immortal Al Davis, just win baby.
  • Week 6: UC Davis @ Idaho State
    I think those teams all had better resume's than a 9-2 UCD team would this year. Us losing to Idaho State is way worse than any loss those teams had. Of the 12 combined losses, 6 were to FBS teams, 5 were to each other and the last was to North Dakota, a 7-5 playoff team. But your general point is correct that when you're in a good conference, like the Big Sky/CAA/MVFC, you get the benefit of the doubt. A 7-5 team in those conferences is still a pretty solid team. Look at the 2019 Aggies, who went 5-7, which looks bad. However, we lost to Cal, NDST (National Champs), Montana (6 seed, QF), North Dakota (playoffs, 1st round), Weber (3 seed, SF), Montana State (5 seed, SF) and Sac St (4 seed, R16) and the only team we really got hammered by was Montana. Weber you could argue since we down 22 in the 4th but we were also only down 5 mid 3rd. That team was good, only losing to playoff teams, and still went 5-7.

    .500 Big Sky teams are nothing to scoff at, which is why the conference gets the benefit of the doubt, ditto for the CAA and MVFC. In the 8 years since it's moved to 24 teams, those three conferences have had 27 of the 32 semifinalists, and Sam Houston St. made up 4 of those remaining 5.
  • Week 6: UC Davis @ Idaho State
    I agree. My main point was that a 9-2 Big Sky team with an FBS win and a win over Weber is getting a home game. 9-2 where we don’t beat anyone good by virtue of lucky scheduling is a different story.

    This team would have to win out to get a 1st round bye like the 2018 team did. Of course we’d probably believe in them more then we do now if they did win out.
  • Bob Dunning Makes His Case for UCD to Move to FBS
    Yeah, we couldn’t sell out the first FCS playoff game we’ve ever had. I mean, I know it’s FCS but it’s not like we have a 25K seat stadium.
  • Week 6: UC Davis @ Idaho State
    9-2 in the Big Sky with wins over Weber and Tulsa and we’d almost definitely host a game. It would probably be a first round game though so we’d be seeded 9-16 rather in the top 8 like in 2018.

    That also assumes Weber continues to at least be decent also. Weber’s next two are home to Montana State and at EWU. If they get blasted in those games, all of a sudden our win over them doesn’t look that great anymore.

    8-3 I bet we still get in assuming we don’t get annihilated in those two games though. Very unlikely it would be a home game though.

    Our 2018 resume wasn’t that great either if you just look at who we played. Beat a 1-11 San Jose St team (Tulsa already has 2 wins) and San Diego, who made the playoffs but lost their first game. After that our best wins were Montana and Idaho State at 6-5. But San Diego was the only playoff team we beat. EWU annihilated us. Now, the difference is that team was putting up 40 every game besides Stanford and EWU, and besides Idaho State, was hammering teams. So it’s not a perfect comparison. But that team still got a 6 seed and proved in the playoffs that it deserved it.
  • Week 6: UC Davis @ Idaho State
    It wasn’t a bad call in retrospect. It was just a bad call that ended up having the worst possible consequences come from it.

    If they get the ball at the 20, maybe they don’t even try to move the ball since they’d need to get 50 yards just to get into field goal range as opposed to 25. I don’t think Idaho Stare was thinking TD there at the beginning of the drive. They probably would have been happy with 3 to make it a three score game.

    It’s 4th and 17. If we had Patrick Mahomes as our QB the odds would be slim of picking that up. How many passes did we complete in the 1st half? Wasn’t many. If it’s 4th and short you could sell me on it. But the slim chance of actually picking that up isn’t nearly worth the risk of what happens from giving Idaho State good field position.
  • Week 6: UC Davis @ Idaho State
    Plus we got the ball to start the second half. Go in down 17-3, regroup like you said, and hopefully put 7 on the board. We did drive down into the red zone too. I like our odds if it’s 17-10 (so punt deep and then don’t throw a pick on that first drive of the 2nd half) to actually pull the game out.
  • Bob Dunning Makes His Case for UCD to Move to FBS
    Stop me if you’ve heard this before…

    Yes, Bob, we’ve heard it before. It was two months ago. From you.
  • Big Sky Games Week 6 and Other Games of Interest
    Going to be some shakeup in the rankings this week with 2, 3, 7 and 9 all losing.
  • Week 6: UC Davis @ Idaho State
    If only we were down just 7 instead of 14, a FG wouldn’t hurt so much.
  • Week 6: UC Davis @ Idaho State
    Was thinking yesterday with BlueGoldAg’s post about how good we are about the turnovers. We’d picked off 11 and only thrown 2 or 3. So we were +8 or 9 in the turnover margin. Fumbles are completely lucky but interceptions are to some extent also. We weren’t going to continue being +2 on the turnovers week in and week out.
  • Week 6: UC Davis @ Idaho State
    Going for it on 4th and 17 with 1:10 left when you get the ball to start the second half is incredibly dumb. Like “attempting a FG down 7 with 4 minutes left” dumb. Just punt it deep, go into half down 14 and regroup getting the ball first. If it’s 4th and short then I get it. But 4th and 17? Nope. That could cost us the game if we make a comeback in the second half.
  • Week 6: UC Davis @ Idaho State
    Just checked the score. Looks like things aren’t going great.
  • Week 6: UC Davis @ Idaho State
    It's tough to tell. You could also say our other three games that were close, one was against an FBS team and one was against a good Weber team (2-3 but lost to Utah and JMU). And we don't really know how good Idaho is either. They hammered a bad DII team and lost to two FBS teams. I think you're right that we're probably not the 7th/8th best team in the country but I don't think we're way overranked.
  • How do we beat EWU, JMU, NDSU
    Yeah. Would probably have to be a day where a lot goes right, get a little lucky and those teams are off their games a bit.

    I can't remember the specifics of how we actually looked in the game am going off the box score for the 2019 game. But we were only down 20-16 and forced NDST to punt three times and got the ball back with the chance to take the lead. We went 10 plays for 37 yards before punting and then went 11 plays for 61 yards including a 1st and goal from the NDST 4 but threw a pick on 3rd down. And that was the 16-0 year with Trey Lance at QB. And the previous year we were one stop against EWU from hosting a FCS Semifinal game.

    We're close enough that pulling off an upset isn't a ridiculous proposition.
  • Week 5: Idaho @ UC Davis
    Crawford's QB rating is comical at 665.Zander

    I've always loved the college QB rating simply because it's uncapped. If you complete 1 pass for 99 yards and a TD, it's 1261.6. Conversely, if you complete 1 pass for -99 yards, your rating is -731.6. NFL is boring since it goes from 0 to 158.3.
  • FCS Polls Week 5
    Decided to go through some schedules. These purposes I'll include FBS games as games against ranked teams.

    Closest I got were Youngstown State and Western Illinois.

    Youngstown gets all 6 MVFC teams plus Michigan State, so 7 total. Western Illinois only got 4 of the ranked MVFC teams (missing NDSt and No. 15 Missouri St) but they played Montana and Eastern Washington in the FCS and Ball State (ranked behind 3 FCS teams in Sagarin)

    In the Big Sky, Idaho State and Idaho both have 4 FCS and 2 FBS while Northern Colorado gets all 5 ranked Big Sky teams plus Colorado.

    I only went through those three conferences since it was unlikely another team could rack up that many quality opponents while still playing a conference schedule.
  • FCS Polls Week 5
    Doesn't get much easier either. They still also play Stephen F Austin (#23), Delaware (#9), Sam Houston State (#1) and Missouri State (#15). Rankings from the Stats poll since it's on the NCAA website.

    So they play the current #1, #2, #6, #7, #9, #15, #19, #23.

    Even if you're one of the unranked teams in the Big Sky, CAA or Missouri Valley, and got super unlucky (since there isn't a true round robin in any of them), it wouldn't be this bad. Big Sky has 5 ranked and 4 in the top 10, CAA has 5 ranked and 2 in the top 10, MVC has 6 ranked and 3 in the top 10. So you'd have to get unlucky with the schedule and then add on one or two other top-10 teams in the non-conference to top it off.
  • FCS Polls Week 5
    Yeah, that one is odd. Eastern Washington was behind us and jumped from 10 to 5, which makes total sense. But dropping us behind Delaware, who beat a now 0-4 Albany at home doesn't make sense. Seems like we should have stayed in front of them.